Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.204958 0.231469 0.259550 0.291451 0.326626 0.364170 0.407210
2025-07-20 0.173669 0.210142 0.251001 0.299962 0.356820 0.420544 0.497134
2025-07-27 0.148326 0.190673 0.240481 0.302943 0.378701 0.467102 0.577515
2025-08-03 0.130349 0.176908 0.234089 0.308714 0.402676 0.516147 0.662520
2025-08-10 0.117550 0.167561 0.231412 0.317731 0.430033 0.569727 0.754965
2025-08-17 0.103042 0.154036 0.221616 0.316087 0.442829 0.604882 0.825290
2025-08-24 0.091463 0.142979 0.213668 0.315584 0.456199 0.640515 0.896964
2025-08-31 0.081607 0.133136 0.206216 0.314671 0.468254 0.674223 0.966806
2025-09-07 0.075228 0.127598 0.204120 0.320670 0.489573 0.720694 1.055015
2025-09-14 0.068177 0.120233 0.198590 0.321026 0.502508 0.755740 1.128507
2025-09-21 0.062056 0.113644 0.193545 0.321472 0.515180 0.790468 1.202365
2025-09-28 0.056622 0.107573 0.188702 0.321668 0.527139 0.824249 1.275666
2025-10-05 0.052169 0.102883 0.185919 0.325234 0.544902 0.868017 1.366390
2025-10-12 0.049152 0.100358 0.186388 0.333856 0.570686 0.924473 1.477587
2025-10-19 0.045354 0.096026 0.183473 0.336723 0.587505 0.968075 1.571275
2025-10-26 0.042485 0.093084 0.182628 0.342812 0.609531 1.020174 1.679243
2025-11-02 0.040455 0.091506 0.183974 0.352542 0.637701 1.082529 1.804594
2025-11-09 0.036866 0.086491 0.178788 0.350677 0.646675 1.115230 1.885453
2025-11-16 0.033815 0.082208 0.174550 0.350090 0.657550 1.151065 1.972034
2025-11-23 0.031004 0.078098 0.170275 0.349072 0.667479 1.185522 2.057280
2025-11-30 0.029365 0.076301 0.170224 0.355612 0.690494 1.241673 2.178335
2025-12-07 0.027154 0.073000 0.166974 0.355994 0.702705 1.280456 2.272591
2025-12-14 0.025149 0.069927 0.163914 0.356477 0.714990 1.319598 2.368375